Asia Morning Briefing: Are Stablecoins the Engine Behind Global Dollar Demand or the Next Liquidity Crunch?

While attention remains on Jerome Powell’s rate signals, stablecoins are quietly influencing Treasury liquidity, prompting debate over whether they stabilize markets or increase risk.

The market has nearly doubled to $280 billion over the past year, with most stablecoins backed by short-term Treasuries. According to OKX Singapore CEO Gracie Lin, this links crypto liquidity more directly to Federal Reserve policy than ever before.

“Stablecoins are providing stronger long-term price signals,” Lin told CoinDesk. “The next step is unification — creating a market that delivers liquidity, efficiency, and true utility for investors.”

Coinbase analysts project the market could grow to $1.2 trillion by 2028, requiring $5.3 billion in weekly Treasury purchases. While inflows may reduce yields slightly, redemption surges could trigger forced selling and drain liquidity.

The debate is split: Barry Eichengreen warns of a potential 2008-style liquidity crunch, while former U.S. Comptroller Brian Brooks says Treasury-backed stablecoins mirror historic banking reforms, providing safety. Coinbase’s models suggest stablecoins shave basis points off yields, highlighting their growing influence on the broader financial system.

Market Snapshot

  • BTC: Above $111,300, trading in a tight range amid macro caution.
  • ETH: $4,320, up 0.6%, showing renewed altcoin demand.
  • Gold: Surpasses $3,540 an ounce, driven by Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Nikkei 225: Stable, supported by foreign inflows and Japan-focused capital trends.