“Fed Rate-Cut Bets Reach 99%, Driving XRP Up 4%”

XRP Consolidates Below $3.00 as Institutional Activity Shapes Short-Term Range

September 9, 2025

XRP approached the $3.00 level before pulling back, closing at $2.95, as institutional flows continue to shape trading ranges. Support held firmly above $2.88, while repeated rejections near $2.99 highlight the cautious positioning of larger market participants.

Market Context

  • Federal Reserve futures suggest a 99% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut on September 17, boosting crypto sentiment amid a weakening dollar.
  • Exchange reserves hit a 12-month high, signaling more supply on exchanges even as whales accumulated around 10 million XRP in minutes during the breakout.
  • Six spot XRP ETF applications are pending SEC review in October, providing a potential structural catalyst.

Price Action & Technicals

  • XRP rose from $2.89 to an intraday high of $2.995 (+4%) before settling at $2.95.
  • Volume spiked to 159.63M at 13:00—almost three times the daily average—confirming institutional participation.
  • Key support at $2.88–$2.89 held, while $2.995–$3.00 continues to cap gains.
  • RSI mid-50s indicates neutral-to-bullish bias; MACD histogram nears bullish crossover.
  • Consolidation below $3.00 continues; a confirmed close above $3.05 could target $3.30–$3.50.

Traders’ Focus

  • Closing above $2.99–$3.00 to flip resistance into support.
  • Fed meeting on Sept. 17: deviations from the expected 25-bps cut could impact crypto liquidity.
  • Continued whale accumulation and flows into ETFs.
  • October SEC ETF rulings, including applications from Grayscale and Bitwise, may reshape institutional demand.