Crypto Week Ahead highlights the major developments in digital assets and the macroeconomic events likely to influence market direction. (Readers can also sign up for Crypto Daybook Americas to receive a daily rundown of key catalysts.)
The final stretch of March is shaping up to be a volatile one. The FTX Recovery Trust is set to distribute $2.2 billion to creditors on Tuesday, while the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is due Friday — a day when many global equity markets will be closed for Good Friday.
Geopolitical tensions remain a central risk. The Middle East conflict, now in its fifth week, has disrupted key energy infrastructure and transport routes, fueling higher inflation expectations and shifting the outlook for monetary policy.
“Bitcoin, a highly reflexive and liquidity-sensitive asset, typically reacts early to changes in risk appetite and has already repriced lower since October 2025,” said Luke Deans, senior research associate at Bitwise. “That indicates digital assets began adjusting to tighter financial conditions ahead of many traditional markets.”
Deans added that global macro forces continue to drive overall sentiment. While liquidity conditions will play a role, the broader environment remains fragile amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
