Despite Stability, Dogecoin Enters ‘Oversold’ Territory, Fueling Bearish Speculation

Dogecoin Stages Modest Recovery as Oversold Signals Flash, Community Stays Bullish Despite Market Turmoil

Dogecoin (DOGE) regained some ground on Wednesday, rebounding from an intraday low of $0.164 to close near $0.171—a 4.7% recovery despite persistent volatility across crypto markets. The bounce suggests that institutional players could be quietly accumulating DOGE at lower prices while traders brace for continued market swings.

Backdrop and Context

  • DOGE’s recovery followed sharp selling triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. A broad market correction led to widespread liquidations, briefly sending DOGE plunging over 7% during intraday trading.
  • On the macroeconomic front, the Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rates at 4.25%-4.50% and continued reducing its balance sheet—a stance that typically dampens appetite for high-risk assets like DOGE.
  • Despite these headwinds, Dogecoin remains one of crypto’s most liquid tokens, with daily trading volumes averaging around $1.37 billion and a market capitalization holding above $24.7 billion.
  • Technical signals show DOGE drifting into oversold territory. Meanwhile, social sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with data from LunarCrush showing an 86% positive tone across more than 16,000 mentions, reflecting strong community conviction despite price swings.

Dogecoin’s near-term trajectory could hinge on regulatory decisions—including potential approval of a U.S. spot ETF—and the continued growth of its use cases in decentralized finance, such as wrapped DOGE activity on Coinbase’s Base network.

Price Action Details

DOGE saw its steepest drop around the 13:00 hour, falling to $0.164 amid a trading volume surge that peaked at 591 million units.

Following this sharp decline, DOGE rebounded back above $0.171, where prices have since consolidated in a tight band between $0.170 and $0.1696, with sporadic bursts of trading suggesting potential accumulation at lower levels.

Technical Highlights

  • DOGE ended the session up 4.7%, climbing from $0.164 to $0.171.
  • The most intense selling occurred at 13:00, coinciding with a volume spike of 591 million.
  • Support has solidified near $0.164, while resistance looms around $0.172.
  • Signs of accumulation emerged between 02:00 and 02:02, when volume hit 3.4 million.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at 33.29, signaling that DOGE is entering oversold territory.
  • Price is consolidating slightly above key short-term support at $0.1696.
  • A decisive break above $0.1750 could target resistance near $0.1820. Conversely, failing to push higher might open the door for a retest of $0.1640 or possibly $0.150 if risk-off sentiment persists.
  • Chart patterns hint at a descending triangle—a structure that often indicates bearish continuation—but subdued volatility suggests some stabilization could be setting in.

Despite geopolitical jitters and macroeconomic headwinds, Dogecoin’s resilient community and technical signals suggest the memecoin still has plenty of eyes on it, both from traders and long-term believers.