Ken Griffin Signals Caution as Gold Futures Surge and Dollar Loses Ground

Ken Griffin, CEO of Citadel, has sounded the alarm over gold’s rapid ascent and its implications for the U.S. dollar’s standing as a global safe haven, according to Bloomberg. Gold futures recently surged past $4,000 an ounce, up more than 50% year-to-date.

The dollar has weakened amid this rally. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the currency against major rivals including the euro, yen, and pound, has fallen roughly 10% in 2025, currently trading near 98.5.

Griffin told Bloomberg, “We’re seeing substantial asset inflation away from the dollar as people are looking for ways to effectively de-dollarize, or de-risk their portfolios vis-à-vis U.S. sovereign risk.” He added, “We’re definitely on a bit of a sugar high in the U.S. economy right now,” citing record equity levels driven by artificial intelligence and high-performance computing sectors.

The “debasement trade” narrative has resurfaced, with investors increasingly flocking to hard assets such as gold, silver, and bitcoin as a hedge against monetary debasement, where excessive money creation reduces a currency’s purchasing power.

The U.S. economic backdrop remains uncertain, with a partial government shutdown ongoing and rate cuts widely anticipated. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets see a 92% probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the Fed’s October 29 meeting, lowering the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. Additional reductions could bring rates down to 3.50%–3.75% by year-end.

Bitcoin has mirrored the trend in hard assets, rising 9% in October and hitting a new all-time high of $126,000 on Monday.