XRP Slides Into Bearish Channel Following ETF Outflows, $2.75 Emerges as Next Target

XRP Suffers ETF Hangover as Institutional Selling Drags Price Back Toward $2.77

XRP endured one of its heaviest sessions of 2025, sliding nearly 5% as large holders sold aggressively into the debut of the REX-Osprey ETF. The sharp reversal erased $11 billion in market value and left the token hovering just above key support at $2.77.


Market Context

  • The first U.S. XRP ETF (REX-Osprey) launched with $37.7M in opening-day volume, the biggest ETF debut of 2025.
  • On-chain trackers flagged $812M in whale transfers during the selloff.
  • Crypto markets saw $1.7B in liquidations, with long positions accounting for 90%.
  • Softer September CPI at 2.18% has markets pricing a 50 bps Fed cut before year-end.
  • Bitcoin dominance jumped to 57.7%, reflecting capital rotation out of altcoins.

Price Action

  • XRP fell from $2.87 to $2.77 in 24 hours, marking a 4.9% decline.
  • A flash crash at 06:00 GMT triggered a $0.10 plunge on 656M volume — six times the daily average.
  • Rebounds capped at $2.86, with repeated rejections at $2.87 reinforcing resistance.
  • The session closed at $2.83, down 0.7% in the final hour.

Technical Signals

  • Support: $2.77 remains the critical floor, with $2.82 eyed as a near-term pivot.
  • Resistance: $2.87 marked as a heavy supply zone, with lower highs building a bearish channel.
  • Trend: Short-term bias tilted lower, with risk of extension to $2.75–$2.70 if support cracks.
  • Momentum: Indicators confirm downside pressure as volume spikes highlight institutional exit flows.

Key Watchpoints

  • Can $2.77 support hold if tested again?
  • Will second-day ETF flows stabilize sentiment or deepen sell-the-news pressure?
  • Whale wallet positioning after $812M in transfers.
  • Fed’s policy path and liquidity impact on risk assets.
  • Ongoing rise in BTC dominance — weighing on altcoins.