ETF Turnaround: FBTC and ARKB Power $221.7M Inflows as IBIT Records Losses

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Bitcoin ETF News

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $221.7 million in net inflows on Thursday, their largest daily gain in two months, according to SoSoValue. The move snapped a 10-day outflow streak that had erased $2.73 billion from the sector.

The rebound is notable—but the composition of those flows is more telling than the headline figure.

BlackRock’s IBIT, the dominant ETF by size and typically the main engine of inflows, instead saw $40.43 million in outflows.

The reversal was driven entirely by smaller funds. Fidelity’s FBTC led with $165.96 million, followed by ARK’s ARKB with $91.84 million, and VanEck’s HODL with $4.35 million.


IBIT’s Absence Weakens the Signal

On strong inflow days, IBIT usually captures the bulk of demand—historically between 70% and 90% of net inflows.

That distinction matters. Momentum-driven and retail flows tend to be short-lived, while IBIT inflows often reflect longer-term institutional allocations with lower sensitivity to short-term price swings. Without BlackRock’s participation, the durability of Thursday’s reversal is less certain.

Bitcoin’s price action supports this view. BTC traded near $61,700 after rebounding from below $58,000 earlier in the week.

A roughly 6.5% bounce from local lows is typical of a short squeeze combined with renewed momentum buying. The move back above $60,000 likely contributed directly to the ETF inflows, linking price action and fund flows as part of the same trend.


Year-to-Date Context Still Bearish

Despite the inflow, the broader 2026 trend remains negative. Total net outflows across U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs stand at approximately $5.4 billion year-to-date.

Thursday’s $221.7 million recovers only about 4% of that deficit. The prior 10-day outflow streak alone removed $2.73 billion, underscoring how limited the single-day reversal is in the bigger picture.

Earlier this year, a shorter outflow streak ended with a $753 million inflow—the largest single-day reversal of that cycle—driven by pent-up demand. Thursday’s move follows a similar pattern but at a much smaller scale, suggesting a more cautious re-entry of capital.

The longer duration of the recent outflow streak also points to more sustained selling pressure.

Citi recently downgraded its outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum, citing weakening ETF demand and macro headwinds. While Thursday’s inflow offers a counterpoint, one data point is not enough to reverse a broader trend. Sustained inflows in the coming days will be key to confirming any meaningful shift.