Dogecoin Loses 70% as Speculative Interest Returns to October Levels

Dogecoin’s futures market is showing renewed speculative activity, with open interest returning to levels last seen in October 2025 despite DOGE trading at a much lower price.

Traders are building larger leveraged positions as DOGE hovers near $0.07, creating a growing disconnect between the token’s declining price and the rising appetite for risk in the derivatives market.

CoinGlass data shows DOGE futures open interest has climbed to about $1.21 billion, up from approximately $930 million in late June. DOGE has declined nearly 3% over the past 24 hours and is down roughly 70% over the last year.

Looking at open interest in DOGE rather than dollar value highlights just how much speculative positioning has returned.

The number of DOGE represented by outstanding futures contracts has reached around 17.18 billion, compared with 17.78 billion in October 2025. DOGE was worth roughly $0.25 at that time, meaning the token now trades at less than one-third of its previous price. Despite that difference, futures positioning has almost recovered to its October level when measured by the number of coins.

Futures trading allows investors to use leverage, giving them exposure to positions larger than their available funds. Rising open interest indicates that more leveraged trades are being added, although it does not show whether those positions are bullish or bearish.

Exchange account data, however, points strongly toward the bullish side. Binance recorded more than three long DOGE accounts for every short account, while OKX showed a ratio of more than five longs to one short.

The ratios do not indicate that three or five times more money is betting on a DOGE rally because every futures position has both a long and a short side. Still, they suggest that significantly more traders are positioning for a recovery while DOGE remains under pressure.

That imbalance could become a vulnerability if DOGE drops further. Leveraged positions can be automatically liquidated once traders no longer have sufficient collateral, forcing exchanges to close those trades. If many long positions are liquidated at once, the resulting selling can intensify an already weak market.

DOGE traded near $0.07 during Thursday’s Asian trading hours, falling about 3% while most major cryptocurrencies moved slightly higher.