Will Bitcoin Hold $64K? CPI Data Could Set the Next BTC Move

Bitcoin is hovering around $64,000, down roughly 1.5% over the past day, with bulls still unable to break through the resistance level that has contained price action for several weeks. What stands out is that a weaker-than-expected labor report failed to spark the relief rally markets might normally anticipate. That divergence could be a key factor in Bitcoin’s price outlook this week.

The U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, marking the first net employment decline since the post-pandemic recovery. The figure also came in dramatically below the 95,000-job increase economists had expected. The disappointing report increased expectations that the Federal Reserve could have more room to cut interest rates, pushing Treasury yields lower.

Despite the potentially supportive macro backdrop, Bitcoin struggled to gain traction. BTC briefly tested its 50-day moving average but quickly reversed, producing a clear rejection of the level on the daily chart.

Technically, the move fits the broader trend that has developed since Bitcoin peaked near $80,000 in May. The cryptocurrency has continued to register lower highs and lower lows, while the death cross remains in place. Even improving macro conditions have so far failed to produce a meaningful reversal of that structure.

Bitcoin is currently trading within a relatively narrow range. CoinLore identifies support around $63,766 and resistance near $65,000. A decisive break above the $65,000 barrier could send BTC toward $67,081 and, potentially, $78,085, based on CoinLore’s model. Its seven-day forecast, however, points to $63,935, implying that the market could remain largely range-bound in the short term.

Momentum indicators are equally indecisive. Bitcoin’s RSI is at 50, placing it firmly in neutral territory. The 50-day EMA remains below the 200-day EMA, while bulls have yet to secure the daily close above the shorter-term average needed to improve the technical picture.

Bullish outlook: A sustained move above $65,000 could shift momentum toward $67,000 and beyond.

Base outlook: BTC remains trapped between $63,766 and $65,016, continuing the back-and-forth price action that can quickly whipsaw traders.

Bearish outlook: Losing $62,216, the previous swing low, would provide stronger confirmation that Bitcoin’s broader downtrend remains active.

With Bitcoin’s market capitalization already around $1.3 trillion, some investors question whether the asset still offers the outsized upside associated with earlier stages of its adoption cycle. This has encouraged some market participants to look toward emerging blockchain infrastructure projects, where valuations may have greater room to grow.

LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is positioning itself as a Layer 3 execution network that connects liquidity from Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana through a unified infrastructure layer. The project is designed to let developers deploy applications once and tap liquidity from all three ecosystems without having to navigate fragmented cross-chain environments.

The LiquidChain presale has raised $936,891.74, with the token currently priced at $0.01489. Its infrastructure includes Single-Step Execution and Verifiable Settlement, two features intended to tackle liquidity fragmentation and improve interoperability across decentralized finance networks.